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Further Guidance On Systems
“We have about 125 years in our study period and we had four five-year target periods where based on the speculation you would expect higher floods,” he said. “Those four five-year periods make up only 16 per cent of the record but they actually contain about 80 per cent of the major floods in south-east Queensland. “The next serious widespread flooding in south-east Queensland is expected in 2050-54 if this holds true." The flood peaked in Brisbane at 4.46m on January 13, 2011. He said sea surface temperature fluctuations and pressure changes in the north and south Pacific Ocean, called interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), happened in 20- to 40-year cycles and were possibly linked to the major flooding events. “There has been a lot of work in the last decade linking IPO with rainfall and flood variability and drought variability in Australia,” he said. “When the IPO is in Mortgage brokers Brisbane website here its negative phase, that is when you get a gathering of warm sea surface temperatures off the east of Queensland,” he said. “Warmer sea surface temperatures mean evaporation is Mortgage brokers Oak Laurel Nundah increased and when you have increased evaporation off the ocean Mortgage broker Oak Laurel West End, 249 Boundary St, West End QLD 4101 there is more water in the atmosphere ... so it rains more often and when it does rain there is more water in the atmosphere to fall. “When those negative phases occur, they line with periods where we see really frequent floods.” Dr Kiem said there was “no trend” of recent flooding events being any worse than the floods a hundred years ago. While the examination was limited in terms of a statistical analysis, typically at least 30 samples are required for an analysis, Dr Kiem said the assumption that flooding was random seemed “unlikely to be valid”. "If you look at all of the record, when you are in one of these IPO negative phases, the chance of a flood occurring is 12 to 13 times more likely ...
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